Casino Math

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Blackjack Insurance Sounds Smart Until You Do the Probability

Blackjack Insurance Sounds Smart Until You Do the Probability

Insurance protects you against a dealer blackjack. The math says it’s usually a separate losing bet, dressed up as safety.

Ranking Craps Bets From Lowest House Edge to Worst

Ranking Craps Bets From Lowest House Edge to Worst

A clean ranking of every common craps bet by house edge, with the math behind why pass-line plus odds wins on cost.

Lightning Roulette’s 500x Multipliers Don’t Help the Math

Lightning Roulette’s 500x Multipliers Don’t Help the Math

One Extra Zero: How American Roulette Doubles the House Edge

One Extra Zero: How American Roulette Doubles the House Edge

Edge Sorting in Baccarat: How One Tiny Asymmetry Beat the Casino

Edge Sorting in Baccarat: How One Tiny Asymmetry Beat the Casino

Why Card Counting Almost Never Works in Baccarat

Why Card Counting Almost Never Works in Baccarat

No-Commission Baccarat: A Better Deal, or a Cleaner Sales Pitch?

No-Commission Baccarat: A Better Deal, or a Cleaner Sales Pitch?

Mini Baccarat Is Faster — Which Quietly Costs You More

Mini Baccarat Is Faster — Which Quietly Costs You More

Live Dealer Baccarat and the Math That Doesn’t Move

Live Dealer Baccarat and the Math That Doesn’t Move

Million-Dollar Wins on Negative-EV Bets: How Both Can Be True

Million-Dollar Wins on Negative-EV Bets: How Both Can Be True

Coins, Roulette, and Baccarat: A Field Guide to the Gambler’s Fallacy

Coins, Roulette, and Baccarat: A Field Guide to the Gambler’s Fallacy

The 96% Slot Promise Decoded: Where the Other $4 Actually Goes

The 96% Slot Promise Decoded: Where the Other $4 Actually Goes