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Kelly Criterion for Casino Games: When Math Tells You to Sit Out

Kelly Criterion for Casino Games: When Math Tells You to Sit Out

The Kelly Criterion sizes bets at the edge. In every negative-EV casino game the Kelly answer is the same: bet zero. Here's why and when that changes.

Why Side-Bet Counting Sometimes Works in Baccarat (And Pure Counting Doesn’t)

Why Side-Bet Counting Sometimes Works in Baccarat (And Pure Counting Doesn’t)

Main-game counting in baccarat gains ~0.01%/hand. Some side bets are different — Lucky 6 and Dragon Bonus have counts that genuinely flip positive.

Edge Sorting in Baccarat: How One Tiny Asymmetry Beat the Casino

Edge Sorting in Baccarat: How One Tiny Asymmetry Beat the Casino

Why Card Counting Almost Never Works in Baccarat

Why Card Counting Almost Never Works in Baccarat